Get started

Trend Analysis

JP Power: Breaking Out After 6-Month ConsolidationNSE:JPPOWER : Breaking Out After 6-Month Consolidation Price Action Analysis: • Long-term Trend: Stock has been in a prolonged downtrend from highs of ₹23.77, finding support around ₹12.36 • Recent Pattern: Clear consolidation phase from December 2024 to May 2025 within a rectangular range • Current Movement: Sharp breakout from consolidation with strong volume confirmation • Momentum: Bullish momentum building with gap-up opening and sustained buying Volume Analysis: • Volume Pattern: Significant volume spike during current breakout session • Volume Confirmation: Current volume of 195.09M vs average of 41.29M indicates strong institutional participation • Historical Volume: Notable volume spikes during previous breakout attempts in October 2024 • Volume Quality: Expansion on up-moves and contraction during consolidation phases Key Technical Levels: Support Levels: • Immediate Support: ₹16.35 (previous resistance turned support) • Strong Support: ₹15.50-16.00 (consolidation base) • Critical Support: ₹12.36 (52-week low and major support zone) • Long-term Support: ₹12.00-12.50 (multiple bounce zone) Resistance Levels: • Immediate Resistance: ₹18.50-19.00 (previous swing high zone) • Major Resistance: ₹20.00-20.50 (psychological level and previous rejection zone) • Target Resistance: ₹22.00-23.00 (measured move target) • Ultimate Resistance: ₹23.77 (52-week high) Base Formation: • Base Type: Rectangular consolidation base • Base Duration: Approximately 6 months (December 2024 to May 2025) • Base Range: ₹12.36 to ₹16.35 • Base Depth: Approximately 25% from highs • Base Quality: Well-defined with multiple tests of support and resistance Technical Patterns Identified: Primary Pattern: • Pattern: Rectangle/Box Consolidation with Breakout • Formation Period: December 2024 to May 2025 • Breakout Confirmation: Volume-backed breakout above ₹16.35 • Pattern Reliability: High, given the extended consolidation period Trade Setup: Entry Strategy: • Primary Entry: ₹17.50-17.80 (current levels with momentum) • Pullback Entry: ₹16.50-17.00 (if stock retraces to test breakout level) • Aggressive Entry: ₹18.00+ (breakout continuation trade) • Conservative Entry: Wait for weekly close above ₹17.50 for confirmation Exit Levels: • Target 1: ₹19.50-20.00 (10-12% upside, resistance zone) • Target 2: ₹22.00-22.50 (25-27% upside, measured move) • Target 3: ₹24.00+ (35%+ upside, extension target) • Trail Stop: Use a 15-20% trailing stop once the first target is achieved. Stop Loss Strategy: • Initial Stop Loss: ₹15.50 (below consolidation base) • Risk: 12-15% from current levels • Tight Stop: ₹16.00 (for aggressive traders) • Weekly Close Stop: Below ₹15.80 on weekly closing basis Position Sizing & Risk Management: Position Sizing Guidelines: • Conservative Approach: 2-3% of portfolio (given sector risks) • Moderate Approach: 3-5% of portfolio • Aggressive Approach: 5-7% of portfolio (only for risk-tolerant investors) • Maximum Allocation: Not more than 10% due to sector concentration risk Risk Management Framework: • Risk per Trade: Limit to 1-2% of total capital • Reward-to-Risk Ratio: Minimum 1:2, targeting 1:3 • Portfolio Heat: Consider correlation with other power/infrastructure stocks • Sector Exposure: Monitor total exposure to the power sector Sectoral Backdrop: Power Sector Overview: • Sector Trend: Power sector showing signs of revival with government's focus on renewable energy • Policy Support: Government initiatives for power infrastructure development • Demand Scenario: Growing power demand with industrial recovery • Investment Climate: Increased capex allocation for power infrastructure Industry Dynamics: • Renewable Push: Shift towards renewable energy, creating opportunities • Transmission Focus: Grid strengthening and transmission line expansion • Financial Health: Gradual improvement in power sector financials • Regulatory Environment: Supportive policies for power sector growth Fundamental Backdrop: Company Profile: • Business: Power generation, transmission, and infrastructure development • Promoter Group: Jaiprakash Associates Group • Market Cap: Mid-cap power sector player • Operational Status: Multiple power projects across different states Key Fundamental Factors: • Debt Levels: High debt burden remains a key concern • Asset Quality: Mix of operational and under-construction assets • Revenue Visibility: Power purchase agreements providing revenue stability • Execution Risk: Project completion and commissioning risks • Financial Stress: Historical financial challenges and restructuring efforts Recent Developments: • Debt Resolution: Ongoing efforts for debt restructuring and resolution • Project Status: Updates on project commissioning and operations • Regulatory Approvals: Progress on pending regulatory clearances • Strategic Initiatives: Focus on operational efficiency and cost optimization Risk Factors: Technical Risks: • False Breakout: Risk of failure at higher resistance levels • Volume Sustainability: Need for sustained volume support • Market Sentiment: Dependency on overall market conditions • Sector Rotation: Risk of sector-specific selling pressure Fundamental Risks: • High Leverage: Elevated debt levels impacting financial flexibility • Execution Risk: Project execution and commissioning challenges • Regulatory Risk: Changes in power sector policies • Liquidity Risk: Working capital and cash flow management issues My Take: My Technical Outlook: • Short-term: Bullish momentum with breakout confirmation • Medium-term: Potential for 25-30% upside if breakout sustains • Long-term: Dependent on fundamental improvements and sector revival My Investment Recommendation: • Recommendation: Cautious Buy for technical traders • Time Horizon: 3-6 months for technical targets • Suitability: Risk-tolerant investors with sector understanding • Monitoring: Close watch on volume patterns and sector developments This analysis is based on technical patterns and should be combined with thorough fundamental research and professional advice before making investment decisions. Keep in the Watchlist. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:JPPOWERLong
by Karanshah137
8
Option Trading Part-7If you're looking for a simple options trading definition, it goes something like this: Options trading gives you the right or obligation to buy or sell a specific security on or by a specific date at a specific price. An option is a contract that's linked to an underlying asset, such as a stock or another security. The Indian stock market has witnessed significant growth in recent decades, transforming from a manually operated environment to a digital, highly regulated, and globally integrated system. Among the many financial instruments available, options trading has emerged as one of the most dynamic and potentially rewarding strategies for traders and investors.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
5
GODREJIND - Inverse Head and Shoulders Breakout Pattern Overview: A classic Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern has formed on the Godrej Industries chart. This is a strong bullish reversal pattern, indicating a possible trend change from downtrend to uptrend. What is an Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern? This pattern consists of three troughs: Left Shoulder: Price declines, then rebounds. Head: Price declines more deeply, then rebounds. Right Shoulder: Price again declines but not as much as the head. A neckline connects the peaks between the troughs. A breakout happens when the price moves above the neckline. This formation signals selling pressure is reducing and buyers are gaining strength. How to Trade This Pattern: Entry: After a confirmed breakout above the neckline. Stop-Loss: Slightly below the right shoulder or neckline. Target Price: Measure the distance from the neckline to the head, and project that above the neckline . Godrej Industries – Key Points: Diversified holdings across chemicals, real estate, FMCG, agri-business, and financial services. Strong portfolio of listed subsidiaries like Godrej Consumer, Godrej Properties, and Godrej Agrovet. Backed by the trusted and time-tested Godrej Group with over 125 years of legacy. Generates stable cash flows through dividends and investments in high-growth businesses. Long-term value creation potential as a holding company with exposure to multiple growth sectors. Disclaimer : Trade only if you have a written Trading Plan and aware of your risk reward setup
NSE:GODREJIND
by rampalxyz
4
GBPUSD - FACES RESISTANCE AS BEARISH SIGNALS EMERGESymbol - GBPUSD CMP - 1.3525 GBPUSD has been rallying amid a weakening US dollar but is now encountering strong resistance and showing signs of a false breakout suggesting a potential corrective phase ahead. The pair is currently testing a key resistance zone within a distribution phase, with a double top pattern forming on the higher timeframe - a classic bearish reversal signal. Despite the broader bullish structure, the failure to sustain gains above key resistance 1.3600 and ongoing consolidation below 1.3545 point to weakening momentum. Additionally, the US dollar has reached support levels and may begin to recover, adding further downward pressure on GBPUSD. Resistance levels: 1.3548, 1.3570, 1.3600 Support levels: 1.3512, 1.3455 If the pair cannot hold above 1.3565 during this retest, a deeper pullback is likely, potentially offering short opportunities. The correction could extend toward the 1.3450–1.3365 & may test 1.3300 support range before any continuation of the broader uptrend.
Short
by akshit_official
Falling wedge pattern with supporting signals-Eternal LtdETERNAL LTD is showing a positive technical setup on the weekly chart as of June 9, 2025. The stock has broken out of a falling wedge pattern and retested the same breakout zone of 230 levels, indicating a potential bullish reversal. Momentum indicators support the move, with the MACD moving upwards and the RSI rising to 58.5, suggesting strengthening buying interest without being overbought. This is just for educational purpose and not any recommendation.
NSE:ETERNAL
by sankitamurthy23
1
SHAKTI PUMP : A text book break out• Stock broke a 4 month long short term trendline on 06th Jun25. • Taken support from long term trendline. • Big boys took position for the last 2 months without disturbing the price. • An increase in volume is the testament of the hypothesis. • Go long on positional/swing basis. • Target 1: 1029.5 • Target 2: 1192 • Target 3: 1356.5 • SL for Swing traders: 878 • SL for positional trader: 839 • A RR of 1:4.75. A classical textbook breakout. • Enjoy the show!!!
NSE:SHAKTIPUMPLong
by trader_ghosh
5
Gold Trading Strategy for 09th June 2025🌟 GOLD INTRADAY STRATEGY – 09 June 2025 📢 I Expect a Trending Move Today ✅ Buy Setup 🔼 Buy Above: The High of the 1-Hour Candle that Closes Above $3330 🎯 Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $3343 🎯 Target 2: $3358 🎯 Target 3: $3372 🛑 Stop Loss: Below the low of the breakout candle or as per your risk rules. 📌 Entry Condition: Only after a strong 1-hour candle closes above $3330 – no early entry! ❌ Sell Setup 🔽 Sell Below: The Low of the 15-Minute Candle that Closes Below $3290 🎯 Targets: 🎯 Target 1: $3276 🎯 Target 2: $3261 🎯 Target 3: $3248 🛑 Stop Loss: Above the high of the breakdown candle or as per your risk tolerance. 📌 Entry Condition: Wait for a 15-minute candle to close below $3290 to initiate short trade. 🧭 Pro Tip: Expect strong directional movement today. Trade with discipline, and avoid overtrading. Manage your lot size according to your risk profile. ✅📊 ⚠️ Disclaimer 📌 This analysis is shared for educational and informational purposes only. Trading in Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research or consult with a certified financial advisor. The author does not accept liability for any loss or damage.
THINKMARKETS:XAUUSD
by ramkkyy
2
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES? - Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day - Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade - SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall Round Bottom Breakout in JM FINANCIAL BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NSE:JMFINANCIL
by Kapil-Mittal
3
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES? - Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day - Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade - SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall Trendline Breakout in SINDHUTRAD BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NSE:SINDHUTRAD
by Kapil-Mittal
3
Learn Institutional options trading Part-4SEBI Regulations & Reforms SEBI has made multiple reforms to ensure safe and transparent options trading: Peak Margin Requirements – Traders must maintain full upfront margin. Ban List – Illiquid stock options are periodically banned. Lot Size Revisions – To control leverage and speculation. Options Chain Transparency – Exchanges provide real-time data. Investor Education Initiatives – Workshops, certifications, and sandbox testing. Risks in Options Trading' Options can generate high rewards, but they carry significant risks, especially if misused without understanding. Key Risks: Premium decay Volatility risk Leverage risk Liquidity issues in stock options Wrong position sizing SEBI has introduced risk-mitigation measures, such as margin rules and banning of certain contracts for illiquid stocks.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
1
Smart SIP Strategy & Mutual Fund SelectionTopic: Smart SIP Strategy & Mutual Fund Selection Slide 1: Introduction to Smart SIP Investing A Systematic Investment Plan (SIP) helps investors build wealth gradually by investing fixed amounts in mutual funds at regular intervals. A “Smart SIP” goes beyond just monthly investing — it optimizes fund selection, timing, and asset allocation for better returns with lower risks. Slide 2: What is a Smart SIP? Traditional SIP vs. Smart SIP: Traditional SIP invests the same amount monthly, regardless of market condition. Smart SIP adjusts the investment amount based on market volatility, valuation, or technical indicators. Smart SIP Components: Dynamic contribution (more in dips) Tactical asset allocation (equity, debt, gold) Fund rebalancing every 6–12 months Slide 3: Benefits of Smart SIP ✅ Enhances returns through market timing ✅ Reduces downside risk during bear phases ✅ Better rupee cost averaging ✅ Psychological edge (disciplined but flexible investing) Slide 4: Mutual Fund Selection Criteria When choosing funds, consider: Category (Large-cap, Flexi-cap, Mid-cap, etc.) Fund Manager Performance (Consistency over 3–5 years) Expense Ratio (Lower = better returns) Portfolio Quality (Diversification, sector exposure) Fund Ratings (Morningstar, CRISIL, Value Research) Slide 5: Types of Funds to Combine in a Smart SIP Large Cap Fund – Stability & consistent returns Flexi-Cap Fund – Dynamic across market cap Mid/Small Cap Fund – Higher growth (add with caution) Debt Fund – Hedge during market volatility Thematic/Sectoral Fund – Optional, high-risk/high-reward Slide 6: Ideal Smart SIP Strategy 🔹 Step 1: Allocate based on age & risk profile 🔹 Step 2: Use staggered investing — more in market dips 🔹 Step 3: Track fund performance quarterly 🔹 Step 4: Rebalance portfolio every 6–12 months 🔹 Step 5: Exit or reduce allocation when valuations are extreme
BSE:SENSEXEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Nifty50 - Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: #Nifty50 Date: 8th June 2025 Before starting his week's "weekly analysis" let's go back and review our own analysis which was published a couple of months back. We had analyzed that there will be a larger "Wave B" with a probable resistance zone between 23,800 and 24,800, and a confirmed resistance zone between 25,081 to 25,236. This was published in reports since Jan 13th Onward. The current support is 23,847 and Nifty is battling to cross 25,116. Both these zones is something we identified almost 3 months ago. Let's start! For almost 4 weeks now Nifty is stuck in a tight range of ~650 points, usually whenever index is stuck in a range like this, a break-out on either side then will be "fast and furious" (in the words of P R Sundar). Net Purchase of DII and FII combined in the month of May was positive ~79,000 crores and June till date is about 22,000 crores, that's a total of more than 1 lac crore in 5 to 6 weeks. This is huge money! And when Nifty fell from Oct. 2024 till Feb. 2025 the net buying was only positive 13,000 crores. So, from the bottom to current levels almost 7.7x (770%) money has been pumped in and we have not managed to touch the Life Time High, though the rally is good. Now the question is what next? The concerning thing right now still remains, are the 3 gaps of the recent past and what the markets have taught me is that gaps, especially prominent ones like the one between 22,924 to 23,208 gets filled, always! For now it's a wait and watch for me. Though Nifty still remains below the bottom of the upward channel, but there has not been a break down either and the longer Nifty consolidates in current range, higher the bottom gets (of the upward channel), hence break out on any side will be fast and furious. so let's wait patiently to see what direction the market chooses. Chart - Remains the same, will update new information once mentioned levels are achieved on either side. Mid/Long term view - Still the same, No view as of now, just wait and watch. Still holding cash. #USDINR #DXY - Dollar seems to be forming a double bottom, it's at the support of Mar/Apr 2022, from where the rally started. USDINR had a failed breakout on 22nd May and again it's breaking out of the downward channel. 86.25 is a crucial value, if it breaks and sustains above this value then #Rupee is going to take a beating and this time we could see USDINR touching 90 or even crossing it and going to 92. If and when this happens we'd see bloodbath in the market, which will be worse that Oct. to Dec. 2024. #Gold - Seems to be forming Lower highs in a downward channel. This is not a good sign for any asset. Lower highs and Lower lows most of the time results in a downward trajectory for months or even quarters. Our target set in Dec. 2024 was met at 3,300 and this pain zone is being assessed by many others now. #CrudeOil #BrentCrude - No Analysis for this week If you like the content and find it helpful. Do Like, Comment, Bookmark and follow. This helps with platform algorithm to push the content to more people!
NSE:NIFTY
by Imran_I_Ahmed
2