GBP/USD Technical Outlook: Elliott Wave Mapping the Next MoveThis GBP/USD 4H chart presents an Elliott Wave analysis.
Wave (1) and (2): The market had an impulsive bullish movement in Wave 1, followed by a corrective Wave 2.
Wave (3): A strong bullish move with momentum.
Wave (4): A corrective phase, forming a triangle pattern (a-b-c-d-e), which suggests the market is preparing for another impulsive leg.
Entry Confirmation: A breakout above the triangle pattern.
First Target: 1.31457 (Fibonacci 0.382)
Second Target: 1.32105 (Fibonacci 0.5)
Community ideas
Infy - Long SetupCMP 1550 on 03.04.25
The chart marks all the important levels. The stock price has corrected by around 25% in recent weeks. According to the above setup, it seems to be on the supports.
If it reverses from these levels, it may go into a bullish phase ahead. Possible targets may be 1660/1780/1840.
The setup will lose significance if the price sustains below 1470.
One should keep the position size according to risk management.
All these illustrations are only for learning and sharing purposes, not a trading recommendation.
All the best.
Godfrey Phillips India Limited - 1D - Breakout
Pattern: A cup and handle formation is visible, suggesting a potential breakout.
• Trendlines: Two white downward trendlines indicate previous resistance levels, with the price recently breaking above them.
• Breakout: The latest price action shows a breakout above resistance around ₹7,107, which could indicate a bullish move.
• Volume: The volume bars at the bottom show increasing volume, confirming the breakout.
Indicators:
• RSI (Relative Strength Index) Indicator (Bottom Panel):
• The red line (72.00) represents the RSI value.
• The yellow-green line (60.61) likely represents a moving average or signal line.
• The RSI above 70 suggests the stock is gaining relative strength and could be in an overbought zone.
Resistance Levels:
1. ₹7,100 - ₹7,150 (Breakout Zone) → The stock has recently broken above this resistance. A successful retest and hold above this level could confirm further upside.
2. ₹7,600 - ₹7,700 → Next key resistance from previous highs (potential target if the breakout sustains).
3. ₹8,000+ (All-Time High Zone) → If momentum continues, this could be a longer-term target.
Support Levels:
1. ₹6,800 - ₹6,850 (Breakout Retest Level) → If the price pulls back, this level should act as strong support.
2. ₹6,400 - ₹6,500 (Psychological & Trendline Support) → Below this is the next strong support from past price action and trendline.
3. ₹6,000 (Major Support Zone) → A breakdown below this could invalidate the bullish trend.
Nifty Weekly ViewNifty is Forming either H&S or M pattern. If Nifty breaks & sustains 23870 and H&S pattern is confirmed then target will be 25750.
If Nifty breaks and Sustains below 23400 then M pattern is confirmed and in that case nifty may test 22800 level.
On chart please read H&S target as 25750.
Sumitomo Chemical - Chart of the MonthNSE:SUMICHEM showed good price action this month, showcasing strength in this market and looking to continue that further, hence qualifying for my Chart of the Month.
About:
NSE:SUMICHEM is one of the leading players in the industry, which has a balanced portfolio of technical and formulation products along with backward integration for some products.
The Company is known for domestic marketing of proprietary products of its Japanese parent, TSE:4005 in agrochemicals, animal nutrition, and environmental health business segments. With the integration of Excel Crop Care Limited, the Company now has a strong portfolio of generics in addition to specialty products and a strong combined marketing network.
Trade Setup:
It crossed major Swing High Levels this Month and is now looking to cross ATH, RSI & MACD Trending Upwards. Buy on DIPS can be done if it consolidates. The Base Formed Will be an Ideal Stop Loss.
Target:
Around 672 Levels can book a partial at the ATH Zones.
Stop Loss:
Entry Candle Low For Swing Traders and Base Marked for Positional Traders.
SBILIFE🔎 Key Observations:
Base Breakout on Decent Volume – Price successfully broke out of a long accumulation phase.
200-Day MA Rejection – Faced resistance at the critical moving average, leading to a pullback.
Retesting the Base – The stock is currently stabilizing after the rejection.
🚨 Trading Plan:
⚠️ Wait for a Strong Close Above the 200-Day MA 📈
📊 Volume Confirmation Needed: A breakout should be accompanied by higher-than-average volume to confirm strength.
📌 Final Thoughts:
The structure remains bullish, but a clear 200 MA breakout is the key trigger. Patience is key! 🔥
What’s your take? Will it break through or retrace further? Comment below! 👇📊🔥
Inverse H&S Forming on Daily TF – on #TorrentPharmaInverse H&S Forming on Daily TF – Price Testing Resistance Trendline. What’s Next?
An Inverse Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern is taking shape on the daily chart, suggesting a potential bullish reversal. Price is now testing a key resistance trendline—will it break through?
🔹 Bullish Confirmation: A breakout above resistance could confirm the pattern, targeting higher levels.
🔹 Bearish Rejection: If price gets rejected, the setup may fail, leading to a retest of nearest support.
Key Levels: Neckline (resistance) & trendline breakout zone. Thoughts? #PriceAction #TradingSetup
Brain Hunts, Wallet Hurts!In this brief article, I aim to throw some light upon a typical trader's psychology, which is often swayed by greed and fear, and the constant battle between careful analysis and impulsive decisions.
Traders who actually trade and not just analyze understand that the stock market is not merely a game of numbers- it’s a psychological battlefield where your own mind can turn into your sneakiest opponent.
You’ve got your charts, your indicators, and your gut screaming at you, but many a times, your prediction could be a game spoiler. That little voice in your head saying, “I’ve got this figured out,” can lead you straight into a trap.
Let’s break this down with two classic trader blunders (of course there are more) and sprinkle in some brain science to see why we keep doing this to ourselves and how to fight back.
Situation 1: The Pullback That Never Came
Imagine a situation when you’ve been watching a stock like a hawk, waiting for that sweet dip to jump in. But the price keeps climbing, and you’re sitting there, twisting your hands, grunting, “It’s going to pull back soon”.
Then, your patience snaps and you say, “screw it, this thing’s not dropping anytime soon- I’m calling it”. You hit the buy button at what turns out to be the tippy-top, proudly predicting endless upside. Perfect moment when the whole universe starts laughing in your face while the price tanks the second your order fills, and you’re left holding a bag heavier than your ego.
What happened here? System 1 of your brain- the impulsive hotshot- got tired of waiting and convinced you the pullback was a myth. Meanwhile, System 2, the slow-mo logical analyst- was napping on the job, too lazy to double-check the trend or your risk plan.
The result? A prediction born from frustration, not facts, and a bruised trading account to show for it (see the first figure on chart)
Situation 2: Going to the Moon Call
Now imagine when you nail a trade with a solid 1:3 risk-reward setup. The price hits your target and you are high-fiving yourself in your head. But wait, the momentum is insane! The chart’s practically vertical, and your inner fortune-teller pops up saying: “this is just the beginning, it’s going way higher.”
So, you ignore the initial 1:3 profit button, predicting a jackpot just around the corner. But caution- the market doesn’t care about your crystal ball. The price may fall faster than the Adam's apple, and you will be booking a loss instead of sipping champagne (see figure 2 in the chart).
Here’s the brain glitch:
System 1, that greedy adrenaline hotshot, saw the momentum and screamed, “More, more, more!”.
System 2, the voice of reason, should’ve stepped in with, “Hey, dummy, take the win- you hit your target.” But nope, Mr.1 is drowned in the thrill of that chase. Your prediction wasn’t analysis, it was hope dressed up as logic.
The Psychology Behind the Madness
Our brains are wired into two systems, straight out of Daniel Kahneman’s book.
System 1 is the lightning bolt- emotional, instinctive, and prone to jumping the gun.
System 2 is the nerdy analytical- slow, deliberate, and obsessed with data.
Trading is tough because the market moves fast and System 1 loves to take on the wheel, especially when predictions feel like a superpower. Problem is, it’s usually guessing and not knowing. System 2, meanwhile, gets lazy unless you force it to wake up and do the math.
How to Outsmart Yourself
So, how do you stop your predictions from stabbing you in the back?
Lean harder on System 2. Build a trading plan with clear rules—entry points, exits, profit targets—and stick to it religiously. When your senses are itching to predict the next big move, pause!!! Ask yourself, “Is this my gut talking, or my chart?”
Needless to mention, the market doesn’t care what you think, and it will do what it is going to do anyway. Your job is not to outguess or outsmart it, your job is to outthink yourself. So, next time you’re about to bet on a hunch, give System 2 its fair chance. Your trading account will thank you and you might just sleep better at night 🙂
I hope you like the writeup.
Do like and comment if you feel necessary.
As quoted on 30th Jan 2025 3100 $ has finally being approched.As quoted on 30th Jan 2025 3100 $ has finally being approached.
The daily chart shows that Gold price has almost tested the ascending triangle target, measured at $3,080.
Therefore, a minor pullback cannot be ruled out in the near term. Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has entered the overbought region, currently at 72.50, lending credence to the retracement outlook.
If a correction unfolds, the immediate support for Gold buyers is at the $3,050 psychological barrier, below which the March 26 low of $3,012 could be tested.
Further down, the $3,000 round level will emerge as a significant support level.
On the other hand, if buyers manage to hold ground, the next topside target is seen at the $3,100 threshold.
Fresh buying opportunities would emerge above that level, opening doors for an advance toward the $3,150 level.
Coal India Ltd - Breakout & Retest with Bullish MomentumCoal India Ltd has successfully broken a key resistance level and is currently retesting it, indicating potential bullish continuation. Entry zones are well-defined with a stop-loss to manage risk. Targets align with previous resistance levels, confirming strong risk-reward potential.
⚡ Key Technical Points:
- Resistance Breakout & Retest: Price has broken resistance and is retesting, a bullish confirmation signal.
- Resistance Breakout & Re-test 🔵
- Entry 1 - 401 🟢
- Entry 2 - 354 🟢 (Support Zone)
- Stop-Loss below 346 🔴 (Risk Management)
- Target 1 - 440.80 📈
- Target 2 - 502.75 📈
Why This is a Technically Strong Setup:
- ✅ Resistance Breakout & Retest: Price has broken a key resistance and is retesting it, a classic bullish continuation signal.
- ✅ Strong Support Levels: The 354 zone has acted as a solid support multiple times, making it a high-probability entry.
- ✅ Moving Averages Alignment: Price is reclaiming key moving averages, signaling trend reversal.
- ✅ Volume Confirmation: The breakout was backed by increasing volume, adding strength to the move.
- ✅ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio: Defined stop-loss below 346 minimizes downside risk while upside targets offer a strong reward.
- ✅ Higher Highs & Higher Lows: Market structure suggests a shift to an uptrend.
🚨 No financial advice. Do your own research.
Technical Analysis of MOLD-TEK TECHNOLOGIES LTD (NSE) - Monthly Chart Pattern: Cup and Handle Breakout with Retest
The chart displays a cup and handle pattern that completed a breakout in early 2023.
The price surged significantly post-breakout, reaching new highs.
However, after the sharp uptrend, the stock has corrected and is now retesting the breakout zone, which aligns with a long-term trendline.
Key Technical Observations
1. Support and Demand Zone (Retest of Breakout)
The stock has fallen from its highs and is currently testing a critical support zone around ₹120 - ₹145. This zone represents the previous breakout level from the cup and handle pattern.
A strong bounce from this area suggests that buyers are defending this demand zone.
2. Long-Term Trendline Support
The red diagonal trendline, drawn from past swing highs, has historically acted as resistance.
After the breakout, this trendline is now acting as a support.
The stock has bounced off this trendline, indicating a potential reversal.
3. Volume Analysis
Increased volume was seen during the cup and handle breakout, confirming the strength of the move.
Recent volume spikes on the dip suggest accumulation by strong hands.
A rise in volume on a reversal would confirm buyer strength.
4. Fibonacci Retracement & Mean Reversion
The current correction aligns with a 50%-61.8% Fibonacci retracement from the previous rally.
This is a healthy retracement level, often indicating the end of a correction.
Mean reversion to previous support zones before resuming the uptrend is common in strong stocks.
5. RSI & Momentum Indicators
While RSI is not explicitly shown in the image, the deep correction suggests oversold conditions.
A bullish divergence (price making lower lows, but RSI making higher lows) would strengthen the reversal case.
Conclusion & Strategy
Bullish Case (If the stock holds ₹120 - ₹145)
If the stock sustains this level and forms a higher low, it could resume an uptrend.
Breakout confirmation would come if the price reclaims ₹180 - ₹200 with strong volume.
Potential targets: ₹250, ₹280, and ₹350 in the long run.
Bearish Case (If ₹120 breaks)
A breakdown below ₹120 could lead to further downside, possibly towards ₹90 or even ₹68.
This would invalidate the bullish retest scenario.
Action Plan
For Long-Term Investors: This could be a buying opportunity if support holds.
For Traders: Look for bullish confirmation before entering. Stop-loss near ₹120.
NAVA LTDCMP 485
Technically its a Regression Trend
Need to follow the Marked Channel
SL CLB & Probable Targets are mentioned in the Chart
Plz Stick to given levels & Maintain TSL in order to retain your profits
if you like this idea 💡 --- Plz don't miss to Boost 🚀
For more info - Plz visit my profile & Follow me
Rgds,
Naresh G
SEBI Reg.RA
EURUSDIf you go on 4H you can see to the left in the last couple of months EurUsd has consistantly been making HH and it has been in an up trend, however on Monday market open price has made an important new leg and new Trading range was made. Not the strongest one yet, however suitable for looking for trades. On the rigth side of the screen you can see I where I have looked for a trade opportunity. If you zoom in on an 15 min time frame you can see great short opportunities today, 2 to be exact. Waiting for price to drop and take out the most recent low. Now there is more of a educational explenation while on 15min you can go and see what is happening into the region where the price is currently sitting at.
Blessings, T
Kotak set for new highKotak Mahindra Bank is nearing a retest of its 2021 high at ₹2,253, with immediate resistance at ₹2,201.65. The stock is currently trading at ₹2,186.40. If the price sustains above this resistance and the RSI, now at 73.98, closes above its previous high, it could signal strong momentum for a breakout. This may lead to the formation of new higher highs beyond ₹2,253.
Nifty Respect 23800 Resistance and Down Close 25/03/2025 NSE INDIA, Symbol : Nifty Index Timeframe : Daily. Nifty 24/03/2025 I was predicted one day before on 24/03/2025 Nifty face 23800 Resistance this condition 100% truth .Today Nifty high 23860 but no sustained above 23800 the level and return down side today close Nifty 23665. Tomorrow Nifty more down side go for support test possible.
REC : Bullish due to break out from inverted Head & Shoulder
INVERTED HEAD & SHOULDER -
stock is now bullish after breaking out an inverted head & shoulder pattern with strong confirmation of a green candlestick
BULLISH MACD -
MACD indicator of this stock is very bullish now with macd line having crossed over signal line properly over a period of time
WHITE CLOUD COVER -
apartfrom it a white cloud cover candlestick formed in the right shoulder indicating bullish movement
PROFIT TARGET -
463 level
STOP LOSS -
412 level
AXIS BANKTechnical Analysis Report
Stock Overview: Axis Bank Ltd - NSE - Current Price: ₹1,097.85. Axis Bank Ltd is a prominent private sector bank in India, offering a wide range of financial services, including retail banking, corporate banking, and treasury operations.
Key Levels:
Support (Yellow Zone): ₹926.70 - ₹952.52
Swing Zone (Green Zone): ₹1,015.00 - ₹1,091.53
Technical Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI value is 52.62, indicating neutral momentum as it is close to the midpoint of 50.
Volume: The trading volume is 8.28M, reflecting moderate investor interest. Higher volume often signals stronger price movements.
MA (Moving Average): The stock is trading above its 50-day moving average (₹1,091.53) but below its 200-day moving average (₹952.52), suggesting a mixed trend.
Sector and Market Context: Axis Bank operates in the financial sector, which has been experiencing fluctuations due to economic conditions, interest rate changes, and regulatory policies. While the overall market shows signs of recovery, uncertainties persist, impacting the banking sector's performance.
Risk Considerations: Potential risks include changes in interest rates, regulatory shifts, economic downturns, and geopolitical events. These factors could influence the stock's movement and overall market sentiment.
Analysis Summary: Axis Bank Ltd presents a mixed technical outlook with identified support and resistance levels. The RSI indicates neutral momentum, and the volume suggests moderate investor interest. Moving averages provide a mixed trend signal. Investors should carefully consider sector and market conditions, along with potential risks, before making investment decisions.
Abbott India Swing TradeOn weekly time frame, sellers are trapped badly in Abbott India which can fuel a good potential up move. Also it has recently grabbed liquidity from previous week low so if Nifty holds above 23000 then there are high chances of Abbott to reach T1 and T2 which will be a 1:5 RR trade.
Mankind Pharma - Breakout out of Falling Wedge PatternMankind Pharma is one of the 4 largest Pharma from domestic market perspective. It has fallen 30% from peak price, but has recently given BO from fallen wedge pattern. This looks a great stock:
1. 4 brands are having top market share and growing
2. First Co. to make oral anti-obesity medicine
3. Acquisition of BSV has made a very strong hold in women healthcare
4. Best YoY results with rising EPS
Technically also, Pharma sector looking strong and especially top 5 Indian Pharma Industry companies which includes Mankind Pharma.
Keep this in your radar.
Keep following @Cleaneasycharts as we prvoide Right Stock at Right Time at Right Price!!
Cheers!!
RIDING THE WAVE - CUP & HANDLE BREAKOUT IN MANAPPURAM FINANCESymbol - MANAPPURAM
CMP - 234.16
Manappuram Finance is a Non-Banking Finance Company (NBFC), which provides a wide range of fund based and fee based services including gold loans, money exchange facilities, etc. The Company is a Systemically Important Non-Deposit taking NBFC.
Manappuram Finance Ltd. has recently demonstrated a significant bullish breakout, having formed a classic cup and handle pattern on a larger time frame and breaking out with strong volume. The cup and handle pattern is a well-regarded bullish breakout formation, and when it occurs on weekly or larger time frames, it tends to be highly reliable, indicating a robust upward momentum.
Currently, the stock price may retest the breakout zone, which coincides with the previous resistance area; now turned support - around the 230 to 217 range. This retest is a natural price action behavior and offers an attractive entry point for long positions before the stock continues its upward trajectory.
The target for this breakout, based on technical projections, is around 350, representing a 60% upside from the current market price. Given the strength of the breakout and the established pattern, this target appears achievable over the medium term.
For risk management, a stop loss can be placed around the 197 level, providing a reasonable cushion in case of a price reversal.
From a broader perspective, the formation of a cup and handle pattern coupled with a successful breakout on higher time frames adds a significant bullish bias to the stock. Investors looking for a favorable risk-to-reward setup may find this an opportune time to initiate or add to their positions in Manappuram Finance.
Disclaimer: The information provided here should not be construed as a buy or sell recommendation. It reflects my personal analysis and my trading position. Please consider this trading idea for educational purposes only. Thank you!
NIFTY detailed countingAs discussed in the last post, NIFTY's price has crossed over 23026.85 before 21st March so we can count the current move as wave (3). We can also see that price has broken the base channel, which is an important sign of wave (3) progression.
The detailed counting is given in the chart.
As we can see, the price is in subordinate wave 3 of the bigger wave (3).
The minimum target of Trending Impulse is 161.8% as per the rule.
We can expect the price to touch that level in the upcoming session.
I have marked, for now, a bigger wave (3) (in red) at 161.8% but as mentioned earlier, it is just the minimum target of it and the price may go beyond this level too.
This analysis is based on Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci.
This is not any buying recommendation.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
When Will Gold Fall ?Structure of Gold Clearly shows Wev can expand more , But How Much . Sp the answer is Wave Theory . We have a Impulse Waves of almost 22% . So its come Around 3150$ - 3160$ in the 3rd Wave . At these Price we can Expect Some corrrection or fall in Gold . Till Then You can use Dips To long And Can Capitalize the Gainsa till It doesnt Reach its peak of 3rd Wave .