Beyond Technical Analysis
Long Trade idea on XAUUSD(15m)In this setup, I took a long position based on a confluence of technical factors and pure price action principles:
1. Trendline Breakout:
A well-respected descending trendline was broken with strong bullish momentum. The breakout indicates a potential shift in market structure from bearish to bullish.
2. Higher Low Formation:
After the breakout, price formed a higher low instead of breaking the previous support, signaling that buyers are stepping in and defending the level.
3. Retest of Broken Trendline:
Price pulled back to retest the broken trendline, which acted as support. This successful retest offered a high-probability entry point.
4. Strong Bullish Candles at Entry:
Bullish candlestick formations confirmed buyer strength at the area of interest, further validating the long setup.
5. Positive Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
Stop-loss was placed below the most recent structural low, while the take-profit targeted the next resistance level. This setup provided a favorable R:R ratio.
Solana Technical Commentary on Bullish Rally (SPOT ETF APPROVAL)- Solana is currently trading at 165$
- Solana can be the next Money Printer
- Solana could be the next one to rally because SOL Spot ETFs may get approved by the SEC next month according to Bloomberg
- Bloomberg has mostly been accurate on past SPOT ETF approval calls
- Solana has a higher transaction volume with minimal congestion and low fees.
- Technically, I see the 140-150$ range as an OTE and once Solana breaks above 180$ I will wait for a pullback before adding more size
- Betting Big on Solana looks highly rewarding from a structure perspective 250$ looks easy by the end of Q4
EURAUD quantum decode - sell set up u folding for the day
**Pair:** EURAUD
**Bias:** Strong Sell
**Entry Zone:** 1.75330
**Target:** 1.74600
**Stop Loss:** 1.76000
📉 **Technical Breakdown:**
EURAUD has printed a **clear exhaustion at the top**, showing signs of fading bullish momentum. We’re seeing:
✅ A clean **double top formation** on the 1H
✅ Rejection from a **key supply zone** (1.7530 – 1.7550)
✅ Bearish divergence on RSI + MACD crossover
✅ Weak volume on the last push up — signs of a trap
This pair is now primed for a **quantum drop** toward 1.74600 — a level where smart money is likely positioned.
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🧠 **Why It Matters:**
At XYZER, we don’t predict — **we decode moves that already exist in the future**.
This sell setup isn’t a guess — it’s a high-probability **alignment of momentum, structure, and liquidity logic**.
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🔔 **Watch This:**
If EURAUD fails to break above 1.7555 again today, this trade could turn into a textbook reversal.
The confirmation comes with a strong bearish candle below 1.7520.
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📌 **#XYZER Insight:**
This isn’t just another trade. It’s a precision-aligned move.
We're not here to catch noise — we're here to **sync with the inevitable**.
“Ghost Wick” Rejection Setup – Invisible Candle Setup from LTF!Hello Traders!
Today, let’s explore a powerful intraday price action concept that most traders completely miss — the “Ghost Wick” Rejection Setup . These are subtle but strong rejections that only show up on 1-min or 2-min charts , often disappearing or getting absorbed on 5-min or higher timeframes. If you’ve ever felt like your breakout failed but others caught it — this is what they saw!
What is the Ghost Wick Rejection Setup?
Appears Only on Lower Timeframes: You’ll notice sharp rejections with long wicks on 1-min or 2-min charts — but those wicks vanish on higher timeframes.
Happens at Key Levels: These setups often occur around VWAP, supply/demand zones, or previous highs/lows.
Used by Scalpers & Smart Money: Institutions and pro scalpers use these short-term traps to grab liquidity and reverse quickly.
How to Trade the Ghost Wick Setup
Watch Key Zones on 1–2 Min Chart: Look for long rejection wicks forming right at structure (VWAP, previous day’s high, etc.).
Wait for Confirmation Candle: Once the wick forms, wait for a strong opposite candle with higher volume or engulfing structure.
Enter with Tight SL: Enter at close of the confirmation candle. Place SL just above the wick (for shorts) or below (for longs).
Target Logical Zones: Go for quick 1:2 or 1:3 scalps — next support/resistance or VWAP reversion.
Real Example from Nifty Future Chart – 2 Min Timeframe (10th June Opening Candle)
In the chart above, you’ll see how a sharp rejection candle formed exactly at the VWAP line , followed by a breakdown. The “ghost wick” rejection triggered a precise short trade with a clean move downwards. The setup achieved nearly 1:1.9 RR , showing how accurate this rejection can be when spotted early.
Options Premium Chart on right side (Nifty 25350 PE)
To show how it impacts option Traders or scalpers — the 25350 PE premium spiked right after this rejection, hitting an exact 1:2 Risk-Reward target . It’s a perfect demonstration of how this setup works even for options traders, especially those trading momentum scalps.
Why This Setup Works
Retail Traders Miss It: Most people trade 5-min or 15-min charts and never see this trap setting up.
Algos Trigger Liquidity: These rejections are engineered to trap early breakout traders and reverse with force.
Scalping Precision: This setup allows tight stop losses with high R:R in just a few candles.
Rahul’s Tip
Use this only in high-volume environments — like market open or near key news events. Also, confirm with levels marked from higher timeframe. Don’t scalp in the middle of nowhere!
Conclusion
The “Ghost Wick” Rejection Setup is an advanced scalping trick that can massively improve your accuracy. It’s invisible to most — unless you’re watching closely on LTFs. Once you master it, you’ll never see price action the same way again.
Have you noticed ghost wicks before? Drop a 🕯️ in the comments if you’ve traded one!
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"Selling Shares in Under a Year? Know Your Tax Rules!"💰 Sold shares and made a profit? Wondering if you pay tax on the full sale or just the profit? In this video, we break down Short-Term Capital Gains (STCG) tax in simple terms — including how to calculate tax, adjust losses, and carry forward STCL. No jargon, just clear answers every beginner needs!
Rounding Bottom Breakout – HUGE 8:1 R/R Setup!NSE: BLUESTARCO | Timeframe: Daily
🔥 Key Observation:
BlueStar is painting a textbook Rounding Bottom reversal pattern – a bullish signal indicating exhaustion of sellers and accumulation by smart money. Current price (1624.50) is coiling near the make-or-break resistance at 1656. A breakout here could ignite a massive rally!
🎯 Trade Plan: Precision Execution
⏱️ TRIGGER:
BUY ONLY ON CONFIRMED BREAKOUT ABOVE 1656
Must see: Strong green candle + Volume > 20% above average
NO BREAKOUT = NO TRADE. Period.
🧯 STOP LOSS (SL):
1521 (swing low below pattern – technical invalidation)
Risk: Just 8.1% from 1656 entry.
🎯 TARGETS:
TP1: 1744 (minor resistance – book 50% here)
TP2: 2100 (measured move target – 27%+ from breakout)
Reward/Risk: 8.4x (Rare asymmetry!)
📊 Why This Works:
Rounding Bottom: Classic reversal pattern after a downtrend – signals long-term trend shift.
Volume Confirmation: Breakout with rising volume = institutional participation.
SL Placement: Below the pattern’s trough (1521) invalidates the setup.
Target Rationale: 2100 aligns with the historical liquidity zone.
🚨 Critical Risk Controls
❗ NO BREAKOUT = NO TRADE.
❗ If breakout lacks volume, REJECT the trade.
❗ Partial exit at 1744: Trail SL to 1650 (breakeven) for remainder.
💡 Trader Psychology Edge
FOMO KILLS: Chasing before 1656 risks getting trapped in fakeouts.
Patience = Profit: Wait for the market’s confirmation – this is where pros separate from amateurs.
Trade Like a Sniper: One clean shot at 1656+volume, or walk away.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research. Charts are for educational purposes.
Silver Surges to New Highs After a Decade-Long RallyTechnical Analysis
Silver has had a rollercoaster journey over the past decade. In 2015, silver futures were trading near ₹35,000, but by 2025, prices have tripled, reaching around ₹1,05,000. The journey, however, wasn't smooth.
From 2016 to 2020, silver consistently faced strong resistance between ₹49,000 and ₹51,000. This range capped every bullish move during that period. In 2020, the resistance was finally broken, and silver surged to create a new high at ₹78,000. But post that, silver saw a sharp correction, pulling back significantly.
Interestingly, the same ₹49,000–₹51,000 zone, which acted as resistance for years, now transformed into a strong demand/support zone. This zone offered multiple supports over the following years, solidifying its importance on the chart.
From 2023 to 2024, the ₹78,000 level turned into a fresh resistance, as silver tested this level multiple times without a breakout. Finally, in April 2024, silver broke above ₹78,000 and initiated a strong higher highs and higher lows structure.
On 5th June 2025, silver broke its last higher high, marking a major breakout, and is now trading near ₹1,05,000. This indicates a strong continuation of the bullish trend.
Upside Targets:
🎯 ₹1,08,000 🎯 ₹1,12,000 🎯 ₹1,15,000
Support Levels to Watch:
🔻 ₹1,02,000 – Recent breakout level
🔻 ₹94,000 – Recent higher low
🔻 ₹86,000 – Major demand zone
If silver breaks below ₹86,000, the bullish structure could be invalidated, and a deeper correction may follow.
Fundamental Analysis
Silver is gaining attention as both an industrial metal and a precious asset. The rally in 2025 is not just technical — it's supported by strong fundamentals:
Industrial Demand: Silver is critical for solar panels, electric vehicles, and electronics, all of which are booming sectors.
Supply Constraints: Global mining output has remained tight, causing supply concerns.
Safe-Haven Appeal: Like gold, silver attracts buyers during economic uncertainty.
Global Inflation: Rising inflation has pushed investors toward commodities, particularly silver.
Impact on Related Stocks
Companies that benefit from rising silver prices include:
Hindustan Zinc – major producer of silver in India.
Vedanta – involved in silver extraction as a by-product.
MCX & Commodity Brokers – gain from increased silver trading volumes.
Investment Considerations
✅ Pros:
Strong historical performance
Hedge against inflation and currency devaluation
High demand from industrial and green energy sectors
❌ Cons:
High volatility compared to gold
Dependent on industrial demand cycles
Not suitable for short-term investors without proper risk management
Investment Options
Silver ETFs – Convenient and low-cost exposure
Silver Futures – For active traders
Physical Silver – Traditional but involves storage issues
Stocks linked to silver – Indirect but potentially high returns
Conclusion
Silver has shown massive strength in 2025, overcoming key resistances and forming a bullish chart structure. With demand rising and technicals confirming strength, silver could continue to shine. However, traders must remain cautious at key support levels, and align their strategy with their risk profile and investment goals.
Whether you're a long-term investor or a short-term trader, silver offers exciting opportunities — just remember to watch the chart and respect the levels!
Indian Exchange EXC Ltd. #IEX Smart Money BreakdownIndian Energy Exc Ltd.
I tried to analyze deeply how and why Smart money gave this fall and reason behind this.
Timeframe used here is --- 30 min
Here i saw Power of 3 concepts, Accumulation, Manipulation and Distribution
I would like to discuss in short about the happening in the share price ---
1. Accumulation phase ---
Multiple Liquidity sweeps and consolidation formed a retailer's trap between 185-201 levels
(It took 50 days into consolidation and hovered in 15 points {185-200} )
2. Manipulation phase ----
Retailers trapped during the breakout followed by a fake out reversal.
Price made 2 times rejection from 30 min time frame FVG + Order block levels
3. Distribution phase -----
Price started rejecting HTF POI and started sharp sell-off.
Here we can understand that smart money exited positions and made sell-off.
Also, we see today price made a low exact at the level where Gap Imbalance was created.
here we can also see that, today in a single day price moved from 214 to 188.
Anything rests, Explained in the chart itself.
Expectation for next move ----Potential upside from 172-175 levels.
(Views are only for educational purpose. Do not consider it as an investments planning.)
ICICI Lombard GI – Approaching Breakout on High Volume📊Technical Analysis
Since its IPO in 2017, ICICI Lombard has steadily rallied from ₹600–₹700, reaching a peak of ₹1675 in September 2021. The ₹1,600–₹1,650 zone served as a strong resistance until it finally broke out in 2024, which then acted as a reliable support level in 2024 and again in March 2025.
Following a decline, the stock rebounded from this support, breaking the recent lower high of ₹1,900. Trade volumes have surged, with around 2.5 million shares traded in the last week, the highest in nearly a year. The stock has now hit a resistance near ₹2,000.
👉 Even if the stock intends to rally higher, the key ₹2,000 level must act as support, confirmed by bullish candlestick patterns, before any confident breakout can occur.
Key Levels to Watch:
🎯 Resistance (Upside Targets): ₹2,100 → ₹2,200 → ₹2,300 (all-time high zone)
🔻 Support Zones: ₹2,000 → ₹1,900 → Major demand at ₹1,600–₹1,650
💰FY24 Key Financial Highlights:
Total Income: ₹23,961 Cr (vs ₹20,487 Cr in FY23 and ₹17,876 Cr in FY22)
Total Expenses: ₹20,680 Cr (vs ₹17,910 Cr in FY23 and ₹16,612 Cr in FY22)
Total Operating Profits: ₹3,281 Cr (vs ₹2,577 Cr in FY23 and ₹1,264 Cr in FY22)
Profit Before Tax: ₹3,321 Cr (vs ₹2,555 Cr in FY23 and ₹2,113 Cr in FY22)
Profit After Tax: ₹2,508 Cr (vs ₹1,919 Cr in FY23 and ₹1,729 Cr in FY22)
Diluted Normalized EPS: ₹50.6 (vs ₹38.94 in FY23 and ₹35.21 in FY22)
📌Strong year-on-year and quarter-over-quarter improvements in all major metrics reflect impressive growth and operational efficiency.
🔍Fundamental Highlights
Premium Growth: Gross direct premium rose to ₹60,730 Cr in FY24 — a 22% YoY increase, outperforming industry growth of 14–18%
Profit Resilience: Q4 FY24 PAT stood at ₹520 Cr — up 18.9% YoY ; FY25 PAT surged 30.7% to ₹2,508 Cr
Dividend Declared: Final dividend of ₹7 per share, bringing total FY25 payout to ₹12.5
Combined Ratio: Improved to ~102.2% in Q4 FY24 from 104.2% YoY — indicating better underwriting performance
Segment Strength: Retail health premiums rose ~30%, motor premiums grew ~18%, and combined ratio stabilized
Strong Dividend Yield & Solvency: Dividend yield ~0.68%, with a solvency ratio of ~2.6× — reflecting balance sheet strength.
✅Conclusion
ICICI Lombard showcases a compelling blend of strong technical triggers, fundamental growth, and shareholder rewards. The breakout above the ₹1,900 region on high volume is promising — but confirmation is needed through the ₹2,000 level holding firmly as support. Upon confirmation, potential upside targets are ₹2,100 → ₹2,200 → ₹2,300. Still, investors should watch for any reversal if that support fails.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
Hindustan Zinc : Strong Comeback from Demand Zone with High Vol📈Technical Analysis
Since 2020, Hindustan Zinc rose from ₹130–₹150 to ₹380–₹400 by 2021, and this ₹380–₹400 zone acted as a major resistance level throughout 2022 and 2023.
In April 2024, the stock broke out above the ₹380–₹400 resistance zone and surged to an all-time high of ₹807 in May 2024.
From that peak, the stock experienced a sharp correction of nearly 50% and dropped back to the ₹380 level. However, the same ₹380–₹400 zone, which previously acted as strong resistance, has now turned into a solid support zone, as seen in March, April, and May 2025.
Taking support from this demand zone, the stock rebounded sharply and broke its recent lower high, supported by a significant trading volume of 15.5 million shares — the highest volume recorded in the past nine months.
If this bullish momentum continues, the stock may potentially reach the first target of ₹580, the second target of ₹695, and the third target of ₹810, which marks its all-time high.
Targets:
🎯 ₹580 (Target 1)
🎯 ₹695 (Target 2)
🎯 ₹810 (All-time high, Target 3)
Support Levels:
🔻 ₹475–₹485 (first support)
🔻 ₹380–₹400 (major demand zone)
👍This demonstrates a textbook resistance-turned-support confirmation with bullish price structure.
💰Q4 FY24 Key Financial Highlights:
Total Income: ₹9,041 Cr (vs ₹8,556 Cr in Q3 FY24 and ₹7,550 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Total Expenses: ₹4,258 Cr (vs ₹4,098 Cr in Q3 FY24 and ₹3,896 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Total Operating Profits: ₹4,783 Cr (vs ₹4,458 Cr in Q3 FY24 and ₹3,654 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Profit Before Tax: ₹3,749 Cr (vs ₹3,491 Cr in Q3 FY24 and ₹2,736 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Profit After Tax: ₹2,976 Cr (vs ₹2,647 Cr in Q3 FY24 and ₹2,042 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Diluted Normalized EPS: ₹7.04 (vs ₹6.26 in Q3 FY24 and ₹4.83 in Q4 FY23)
📌The sharp sequential increase across all metrics highlights strong quarter-on-quarter momentum.
🔍Fundamental Analysis
Net Profit Up 47% YoY: Q4 profit jumped to ₹3,003 Cr from ₹2,038 Cr last year, driven by metal price strength and cost efficiency
Revenue Growth: Revenue rose ~20% YoY to ~₹9,087 Cr
Record Production: Q4 saw the highest-ever production—310 kt of mined metal and 1,052 kt refined metal
Lowest Cost of Production : Zinc CPO hit a 16-quarter low of $994/tonne, down 5% YoY
Strong Market Position: Holds ~75% share in domestic zinc, remains among world’s top integrated producers. Free cash flow was ₹13,784 Cr in FY25
Robust Dividend: Recommended record dividend of ₹135 per share for FY24–25
Expansion Plans: FY25 capex ~₹3–3.2k Cr for mining & smelting capacity growth
ESG Leadership: Top-ten recognition in Sustainability, zero-harm goal, award-winning recycling initiatives .
🏁Conclusion
Hindustan Zinc has delivered a powerful Q4 earnings beat and confirmed a textbook resistance-turning-support setup at ₹380–₹400. With strong production, cost efficiency, and market dominance, this stock is technically and fundamentally well-positioned for upside with targets up to ₹810.
📌Actionable Insight: Watch how the stock behaves above ₹400—if it holds with bullish confirmation, a rally toward ₹580–₹695—and possibly ₹810—is increasingly likely.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
FXHUNTER / EURAUDHello, I'm FXHUNTER. In this post, we will examine the EURAUD symbol. Given that this symbol is forming lower highs and lows, it means that the trend is down. In downtrends, we look for weak bullish block orders to place our order on. You can place an order with more confidence by forming a choch in the 1-minute time frame.
JSW Infrastructure Ltd. – Strong Q4 Boost as it Eyes Breakout📈Technical Analysis
IPO & Rally: Since its listing on October - 2023 at ₹140–150, the stock surged to ₹360 by July 2024.
Correction & Support: A pullback followed, finding solid demand at ₹220, which held firm.
Recent Rally: Strong Q3 and Q4 2024 results triggered a rebound starting February 2025.
Resistance Zone: The stock now faces resistance at the ₹320 area, aligned with recent lower highs.
Higher Volume: A surge in trading volume on 5th June confirmed investor interest.
Breakout Signal: If JSW Infra breaks above ₹320 and retests it as support with bullish candlestick confirmation, it may rally further.
🎯 Targets: ₹340 → ₹360 → ₹380
🔻 Supports: ₹280 → ₹220 (major demand zone)
Caution Alert: A failure to hold above these supports could trigger further downside.
💰Q4 FY24 Key Financial Highlights:
Total Income: ₹1,283 Cr (vs ₹1,182 Cr in Q3 FY24; ₹1,096 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Total Expenses: ₹642 Cr (vs ₹596 Cr in Q3 FY24; ₹515 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Total Operating Profits: ₹641 Cr (vs ₹586 Cr in Q3 FY24; ₹581 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Profit Before Tax: ₹581 Cr (vs ₹276 Cr in Q3 FY24; ₹417 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Profit After Tax: ₹516 Cr (vs ₹336 Cr in Q3 FY24; ₹329 Cr in Q4 FY23)
Diluted Normalized EPS: ₹2.43 (vs ₹1.57 in Q3 FY24; ₹1.57 in Q4 FY23)
📌All major metrics show strong sequential growth, demonstrating robust quarterly momentum.
🔍Fundamental Insights
Revenue Growth: Q4 FY25 saw a 17% YoY increase to ₹1,283 Cr
Profit Surge: Net profit jumped 57% YoY to ₹516 Cr
Operating Margin: EBITDA rose 7% YoY to ₹730 Cr, with margin at 39%
Cargo Volume: Handled 31.2 million tonnes in Q4 FY25 — up 5% YoY; third-party cargo share reached 50% from 47%
Dividend Declared: ₹0.80 per share for Q4 FY25, showcasing shareholder returns
Strategic Projects: Interim operations began at Tuticorin & JNPA terminals, reinforcing growth in coal & logistics verticals
Industry Edge: Heavy reliance on bulk cargo provides resilience against global container market volatility
🧭Conclusion
JSW Infrastructure is fundamentally and technically well-positioned after its strong Q4 showing:
🔹 Key Watchpoint: Break above ₹320 and retest as support.
🔹 Bullish Scenario: Sustained move may target ₹340 → ₹360 → ₹380.
🔹 Bearish Signal: Failure to hold ensuing supports (₹280 / ₹220) could lead to correction.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
AUBANK back to All Time High.AUBANK is a few points away from the price where it started.
The trading strategy is to wait for the resistance range 250-246.90 for a retest of the all-time high and upper targets of 261.50 to 268 as new highs.
Upon rejection or confirmation of rejection of this resistance level, prices will fall to 231 and 221, respectively, as T1 and T2.
Gold’s Tight Coil – Structure Tells the Story ! Gold continues to hover near the high-volume zone (HVZ) around the $3,370–$3,400 range, showing signs of hesitation. This HVZ remains a strong liquidity area where institutional orders might be sitting. Price has tested the upper edge multiple times, but with descending volume, indicating buyer exhaustion or lack of aggressive follow-through. As long as gold remains trapped below the top resistance zone ($3,432), the bullish momentum looks limited unless there’s a sudden macro trigger — such as geopolitical panic or inflation surprises — that spikes uncertainty and drives flight-to-safety buying.
On the downside, weak support sits around $3,323. If price loses that level convincingly, it could set up a sharp selloff targeting the lower pivot zone around $3,261.64. The rising trendline from May also looks threatened. A break below it confirms structural weakness and could invite aggressive shorting. Until then, gold may keep chopping within the tightening triangle. Expect quick intraday trades and sharp fakeouts unless supported by strong volume. Keep your eyes on whether gold can decisively break and hold above $3,400 — otherwise, it’s just noise within a distribution zone.
STRUCTURAL BEHAVIOR: BEARISH BIAS DOMINANT (Until Proven Otherwise)
1. Rising Wedge / Ascending Channel (Bearish Structure)
The structure from early May to June is forming a rising wedge or an ascending channel with lower volume — this is typically a bearish pattern.
Price keeps making higher lows, but struggles to make higher highs. That divergence is a red flag.
2. HVZ Rejections (Distribution Behavior)
Price gets repeatedly rejected in the 3370–3400 HVZ, suggesting supply absorption.
This resembles a distribution zone — strong sellers offloading while buyers get trapped.
3. Volume Profile – Descending Volume
Volume is declining while price remains within a tightening range — a classic exhaustion signal.
In bullish breakouts, you'd expect volume to rise as price pushes higher — that’s not happening here.
4. Support Weakening
The 3323 zone is getting tested multiple times, making it weaker.
The more a support is tested, the higher the chance it breaks.
5. False Breakout Possibility Above Triangle
If price breaks slightly above the wedge/triangle without volume, it's likely a fakeout — classic bull trap setup.
⚠️ HOWEVER: One Bullish Escape Route
If sudden uncertainty spikes (e.g., geopolitical crisis, bad economic data), gold might break 3432, and structure turns bullish.
That’s why the arrow saying IF SUDDEN UNCERTAINTY SPIKES is important — external news can invalidate price structure.
🔚 Verdict:
Bias: Bearish.
The structure, volume, and HVZ rejections suggest distribution and a potential breakdown ahead.
Invalidation: Clean breakout and hold above 3432 on high volume — then structure flips bullish.